Originally Posted by CBateman
Might also be that only the guys who have impressive numbers show them.
That is why partly why there is this misconception in this forum about “real” sizes.
You gained more than me, I’m only at the beginning and will measure myself in 2 months again :-) .
There shouldn’t that many misconceptions about size. Not if the interest is statistical/scientific. The guys in the calcSD website made a very good job of selecting proper studies with proper BPEL measurements, while also taking into account other studies that use BFSL, and also comparing this with self-reported sizes etc. In the papers themselves the authors also sometimes analyze these things. So the numbers in calcSD are good. And there are a lot of estimates about the sizes of the most famous porn actors. So that is known as well (roughly). But maybe all of that doesn’t matter much for some guys.
The question in the end comes back to what the man needs when he goes on the internet to find average numbers. I’ve talked about this briefly on another post, where I separated men by their desire either to be the biggest, the best, or to be the most liked. (by women)
For example, if you have a legitimately well measured 6.5” BPEL, you are already in the top 7% on the distribution. That is probably true, within a small margin of error. Buy many people believe that to be unlikely or untrue, for several reasons. It could be pure guessing or stories or reports from others.
But another reason could be that women are not doing random sampling when they choose men/penises. In this case, the probability of a woman finding a guy greater than 6.5 could be greater than 7% (assuming she wants that and is searching, at least sometimes). It could be 10%, or 30%, or whatever, for several reasons. This doesn’t invalidate the studies on average size. The average is still that calcSD number (or close to it), but that becomes irrelevant because what the guy wants is not to be on the top 10% of a normal distribution. He wants to be in the top 10% (or 1 or 0.1) of the ‘real’ distribution that is built on the woman’s personal experience. He is afraid and he wants to properly estimate the probability to be outsized, in order to feel safe.
In other words, the true average of the population is close to the calcSD numbers, but each woman will have an average of their own (based on her personal history), which is what some guys are actually trying to guess. And that is a harder problem to solve.
There are several things above that should be talked about in more detail, from statistics to psychology, but I will try to create a thread for that.