I’ve been thinking this morning about how ugly this has turned. My theory is that the pre-storm evacuation of the city was like a big filtering process.
Keep in mind that even before the storm, New Orleans was one of the most violent cities in the USA (there was a recent story that the murder rate was 10 times the national average, making it the highest in the country). I can tell you that there is a large segment of poor, undereducated people in New Orleans, lots of drugs, etc. Good jobs are hard to come by. Like in a lot of cities, most of the people who work downtown in the good paying jobs live in the suburbs. Because New Orleans itself is surrounded by water, some of these suburbs are across those bodies of water, whether across Lake Ponchartrain, the Mississippi River, or the swamps to the west of the city. For the actual New Orleans citizens, the only jobs available are in service jobs or the tourism industry, all low paying stuff. It is (was?) the best place in the USA to go to party, but raising a family in the actual city was a risky proposition for most people. Most of the poor in New Orleans are black, and rightly or wrongly they perceive themselves to be the victims of a long history of systemic discrimination. That is obviously a gross generalization, but let’s just say that racial tensions are high.
Now back to the filter theory. It’s not like an earthquake or tornado. Wealthy and middle-class people who have cars and so forth had time to pack up and leave. The idea of a few hundred $$ for a hotel for a few nights was no big deal to them. This left a high concentration of the poor and/or criminal elements. Again, these people already feel disenfranchised. After the storm, with rescue efforts moving so slowly, it is easy for me to understand how this has escalated into what we are seeing in the news. You have a much higher proportion that normal of criminals, the police are basically gone.
I am certainly not saying that everyone who was left in New Orleans was a criminal. What I mean is that in normal conditions, maybe 0.1% of the population might be violent, and is held in check by the police and peer pressure. Now, due to this filtering process, maybe 10% of the population are violent criminals.
Arrgh, I am having a hard time putting this into words. I can visualize in my head pretty clearly what is going on in the Superdome right now, and with just a touch of hindsight I have to say I am not surprized.
As for all the people fussing about the government response, I think they are being unrealistic. This is a HUGE disaster. A medium sized city which was the hub of the economy for the region has basically been wiped off the map. The authorities are saying it will be months before some basic services are restored, I think they are underestimating. Probably thousands of people are dead, and tens of thousands need to be evacuated.
I have to wonder how many people will just take their insurance check and move elsewhere.